Selection Sunday was last night, and already March Madness betting handicappers are in a state of panic over what teams to wager upon. One of the biggest issues heading into the 2012 edition of the tournament is that sports betting enthusiasts are unfamiliar, with whom the best teams against the spread will be. After all, three of the four top seeds in the tournament, ranged from awful to okay against the spread this season. Here is a look at some of the best teams against the spread.
There are plenty of trends that bettors can put credence in as the 2012 March Madness tournament gets underway later this week. One trend we are always surprised at is that despite winning all 84 games since 1991, the number one seeds are only 48-35-one against the spread verses 16 seeds. This tells us, that while they may not be winning the games outright, the 16th ranked teams annually are getting better and may one day be able to win outright against a top seed. Another interesting trend is that while top seeds have a winning record against the spread, second ranked teams tend to struggle. In the same study from 1991 to present, the teams ranked second, have gone a disastrous 35-45-five against the spread, and 80 and four straight up. Meaning to say, picking an upset, is better statistically on two v 15 then one v 16.
For fans looking for straight up upsets, that game would come from one featuring the fifth seed taking on the 12th seed. In a study calculating upsets from 1988 to 2012, the 24 year study, showed, that a 12th seed has failed in upsetting a fifth seed only twice. Looking at a smaller sample, of the last five years, the 12th seed has gone five and seven straight up and eight and four against the spread. Thus indicating, 12th seeds are often better then fifth seeds on the NBA trade deadline March Madness betting line.