Why Successful Sports Bettors Find An Edge

Posted on 3rd January 2012 in Sports

The old adage the less you bet the more you lose when you win, has been a staple of the sports betting industry for ages. Within the industry, there are two types of bettors, the squares and the sharps. On the one hand, the squares are the bettors that are unfamiliar with the ins and outs of the industry and constantly lose, due to a lack of an edge. Conversely, the sharps are high rolling bettors, that use bookie software to gain an edge of the sportsbook or casino on a game. Here’s a look at why successful bettors are finding an edge over the sportsbooks.

The biggest edge sharps have over the sportsbook actually wouldn’t seem like an edge if you’d read about it somewhere else. That edge we are talking about is money management. The old adage we mentioned earlier is often used by squares, as they learn awfully quickly, that betting more doesn’t mean you are betting smart. For example, a person that has a $400 bank roll who risks $100 per bet, will lose more, then someone with a $400 bank roll who risks $50 a bet.

If you take sports betting seriously, then the first thing you will realize, is that no matter how much you risk you won’t always win. In other words, if your goal is to spend $400 total, why waste it on four bets, when you can double the amount of bets you are using by spending less?

As well, the majority of sharp bettors, tend to be able to find value over the casinos and sportsbooks for one simple reason, they are willing to shop around. The reason most casinos and sportsbooks make a profit is because many square bettors, would rather wager at on the NFL at one watering hole, then go somewhere else.

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Tips To Follow To Exercise Money Management

Posted on 19th December 2011 in Sports

Sports betting is one of the most enjoyable yet also one of the most infuriating hobbies anyone can have. Speaking from experience, the first time we placed a wager on our favorite event, we were shocked to not win. Here’s a tip for all of you new bettors reading this, as soon as you can make peace with the fact you may lose, the better chance you have of enjoying using bookie software to handicap your favorite sports. Here is a guide to the mental side of money management.

Firstly, it is important to know yourself and understand what you are comfortable with. For every betting system, there are 1000 different money management systems used to keep you from over spending. Simply put, find the right system for you and you will have nothing but success. For example, one system we enjoy using is the percentage system. The system requires that you breakdown your budget into a percentage, and then play within that percentage for your entire wager. Winning wagers go back into the budget, and then whether you win or lose you continue to play the percentage.

Another tip we can offer you is to keep track of everything and pick the safest NHL wager. What distinguishes the top bettors from the new bettors is the ability to document everything. As we noted before, people handicap every sporting event. In some cases, this means that you will simply read the injury report for your favorite NFL team. Conversely, you may also elect to read up on trends or coaching changes. The point is, you should do a ton of research before you make your bet, so that you are 100 percent confident in who will win the event you are wagering on. If you aren’t 100 percent sure, then you shouldn’t be wagering.

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Rose Bowl Oregon V Wisconsin Preview

Posted on 5th December 2011 in Sports

Last night the NCAA shocked the sports betting world with some of their selections for the Bowl Games coming up in the next few weeks. One game that thankfully was not shocking, was the announcement of the Rose Bowl game, which will feature last year’s National Title runners up and reigning Pac – 12 Champion Oregon, taking on Big 10 Champion the Wisconsin Badgers. Here is a bookie software preview of the game.

The 2012 Rose Bowl features two evenly matched teams, as the 11 and two Oregon Ducks go up against the 11 and two Wisconsin Badgers. Oregon is one of four teams, that was apart of the historical collapse a few weeks ago, that basically allowed Alabama to stay in the second seed overall and back in the National Title game. Meanwhile, the Wisconsin Badgers have been a renaissance team this season. Despite being a co-Big 10 Champion a season ago, the Badgers flew under the radar this season, as they put together an impressive campaign.

On paper, the Oregon Ducks are a team that will likely feature more public NFL support, as they are led by offensive duo Darron Thomas and LaMichael James. Conversely, many people may not be familiar with the duo of Russell Wilson and Montee Ball. The duo was unbelievable in their 42 – 39 victory over Michigan State for the Big 10 Title. Wilson threw for 187 yards and three touchdowns, while Ball rushed for 137 yards and three touchdowns.

If Wisconsin wants to have a shot against the Oregon Ducks, they will need to take to the ground early and often, as Oregon’s rush defensive isn’t very good. At the same time, the Badgers defense can’t be giving up 471 combined yards to Oregon, and only accumulating 345 themselves, or the game will be over quickly.

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2012 Final Four College Hoops Prediction

Posted on 21st November 2011 in Sports

Two weeks into the college basketball betting season, and already fans and media alike are trying to determine which four teams will be left in the semi –finals of the March Madness tournament in 2012. Thus far in the season, things have gone basically as expected, as the top teams in the league remain on the top of the standings, while middle of the pack teams struggle to build early chemistry. With nearly four months to go until the bookie software March Madness tournament, here is our final four prediction.

If the Final Four were to play today, the teams in the two semi – final matchups, would be North Carolina v Connecticut and Kentucky v Syracuse. On paper, it’s only been a couple of games, but already, these four teams are establishing themselves as powerhouses for the 2011 – 12 season. North Carolina entered the year as the team to beat, while Connecticut is the defending Champion. Meanwhile, Kentucky also returned a strong group, as did Syracuse. When these four teams pair off into two semi-finals, something will have to give.

In the first semi-final North Carolina v Connecticut, we get to watch a game, that would be featured in most NBA playoff series. The expected champion against the defending champion was a familiar site during last season’s NHL playoffs, as the Vancouver Canucks took on the Chicago Blackhawks in a classic series. Unfortunately for Connecticut, similar to Chicago, there time on top will only last one season, as North Carolina has a far deeper roster, that should be able to get the job done in knocking off the defending Champions.

Conversely, Kentucky v Syracuse features two teams that can put up a ton of points, but also put an emphasis on defense. This series will be similar to the Tampa Bay v Boston series of last year’s NHL Eastern Conference finals. Theoretically, the blue collar Orange team should be able to knock off the brand name Wildcats. Leading to a North Carolina v Syracuse March Madness Finals for the ages.

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College Basketball SEC Preview

Posted on 7th November 2011 in Sports

The SEC has become one of the most exciting sports betting conferences in the world of college sports, for both football and basketball. With the 2011 – 12-basketball season set to begin this weekend; bettors will be looking closely to find out who the best SEC team is. With Missouri entering the SEC next season, the worlds top bookie software conference will get a whole lot tougher. Here is a preview of the SEC entering this weekend.

Kentucky looks to be the favorite again this season, as John Calipari has added several players that should make the National title game this season. Terrence Jones and Doron Lamb return to help guide new recruits Anthony Davis and Marquis Teague and Michael Gilchrist to one of the most impressive seasons in Kentucky history. All five players have the potential to not only be drafted to the NBA in the next few years, but also be lottery picks for several lucky NBA teams. Kentucky should dominate the SEC, as most of the teams are in rebuilding years.

However, with that being said, do not underestimate the likes of Vanderbilt or Florida. The Commodores return basically the same roster last season, except for one injured player.  Vanderbilt’s lineup is made up of juniors and seniors, who have been able to form good chemistry over the last couple of seasons. After getting bounce from the March Madness tournament early last year, the Commodores will be entering the 2011 – 12 season with a chip on their shoulder. If Kentucky struggles, look for Vanderbilt to slide in and take the SEC crown.

Florida Gators are another interesting team, as they have the talent to go far in a tournament like March Madness. One of the main concerns for Florida is that they have a ton of talented defenders, but not enough offense. The Gators inability to score could be their undoing as the season progresses.

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Pac 12 College Basketball Preview

Posted on 24th October 2011 in Sports

The 2011 breeders cup betting NCAA college basketball season will be highlighted by the debuts of the new look Pac 12 and the new look Big 10 conferences. Today for your bookie software viewing pleasure, we will be running down the Pac 12 Conference, which now includes the Utah Utes as the 12th team in the conference. Here is what you need to know.

California Golden Bears – The Golden Bears are expected to be the class of the conference this season, as they have several marquee veterans returning for their senior season. With the NBA lockout proceeding, Jorge Gutierrez, Harper Kemp and the Golden Bears, should at least on paper be the most dominating team in the Pac 12 this season. By all accounts, if any team is going to win the March Madness title this season, it should and will be the Cal Golden Bears.

Arizona Wildcats – With the loss of Derrick Williams to the NBA draft, this offseason seemed like a daunting one for the Arizona Wildcats. However, that being said, if freshmen recruits Josiah Turner and Nick Johnson can live up to their potential, the Wildcats should be just fine this season. Last year, as you may recall, as the March Madness tournament carried on, the Wildcats depth proved to be too much of a match for the likes of Duke. With the majority of the depth players returning and the additions of Turner and Johnson, a final four berth isn’t out of the realm of possibility.

UCLA Bruins – One dark horse in the Pac 12 this season, is the UCLA Bruins. The Bruins have been in rebuild mode since a run to the finals in 2008 where they lost to the Florida Gators. Three years later, this is the season that the Bruins have to put up results, or coaching and player changes may need to be made.

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Big 10 College Basketball Preview

Posted on 10th October 2011 in Sports

With the college basketball sports betting regular season set to begin in a matter of weeks, fans and handicappers alike are wondering which Big 10 team will win the championship this season. Last season, Jared Sullinger led a veteran Ohio State Buckeyes lineup to the sweet 16 but was unable to make it to the championship. Can Sullinger and his fellow Buckeyes win the big one? Michigan and Michigan State both appear to be improved, and with the addition of Nebraska bookie software agents are having trouble deciphering who will come out of the Big 10. Here is a preview.

Michigan Wolverines – Fielding one of the youngest rosters in the NCAA, expectations weren’t very high for the Michigan Wolverines in 2010 – 11. However, as the season progressed, the youthful Wolverines continued to pull off upset after upset. Last season, Michigan not only made the March Madness tournament, they came within three points of advancing to the Sweet 16 with a come from behind loss to Duke.

This season, the Wolverines come in looking to win the Big 10 title. The loss of Darius Moore will hopefully be countered by the returns of sophomores, Tim Hardaway Jr. John Horford, and Jordan Morgan, along with seniors Stu Douglass and Zack Novak appear to be a daunting starting five. Look for Michigan to continue their climb towards the top of the Big 10 standings.

Purdue Boilermakers – Another team to look out for this season will be the Purdue Boilermakers. With the departures of JuJuan Johnson and E’Twaun Moore, to the Boston Celtics in the NBA draft, all of the NHL stock will rely on the oft-injured Robbie Hummel this season. Coming off of back to back ACL surgeries, if Hummel can play at 100 percent, he could be this season’s Jimmer Fredette.

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MLB Betting – Red Sox Set Will Stain Phillies In World Series

Posted on 16th August 2011 in Sports

As the MLB betting season continues to wind down, there is no reason to think that the two favorites to win the World Series won’t be the teams that play for baseball’s ultimate prize. The Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox are listed at 8-5 and 3-1 respectively, and neither team has shown any signs of why they should not be picked to represent their league in the championship series. While a case can be made for both sides as World Series champions, the Red Sox get the edge based on how complete their team is both offensively and defensively.

While the Phillies boast the best pitching staff in the majors, any sports betting rotation will struggle with the likes of Adrian Gonzalez, David Ortiz, and the rest of the highest scoring team in baseball. The Red Sox have all of the weapons of a championship team, and with Josh Beckett and Jon Lester leading a potential three-man rotation in the playoffs, Boston will have options on who to seed as the third arm. Reigning National League Cy Young award winner Roy Halladay will lead a staff that will likely be shortened to himself, Cliff Lee, and Cole Hamels in the World Series, but the problem is that if any of those pitchers struggles, the Phillies don’t have the offensive firepower to make up for it when it matters the most.

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NFL Betting – Eagles Load Up For Super Bowl Run In 2011-12

Posted on 2nd August 2011 in Sports

While the New England Patriots and New York Jets were engaged in an arms race that seemed to steal the NFL free agency spotlight, it was the Philadelphia Eagles that broke through with the biggest splashes during the quick turnover period. Not only did the reigning NFC East champions sign the biggest name on the open market in cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, they also brought in defensive end Cullen Jenkins and backup quarterback Vince Young. Is there a possibility for both Young and Michael Vick on the field in wildcat formations where each can throw? Probably not, but nonetheless the Eagles have all the NFL betting lines tools to be a Super Bowl champion in 2011-12.

Consider that last season was Vick’s second year back in the NFL, and first year when he got exclusive time as the No. 1 guy. Vick will enter this season with the confidence and experience in the offense as the unquestioned leader, and with a ton of weapons around him the offense is simply dangerous. Defensively, the Eagles answered questions on the line with the addition of Cullen Jenkins, and that should help both against the pass and run. With Asomugha now in the sports betting fold, Philadelphia can send more blitzes and feel confident that he has his said locked down. The Eagles also traded for Domenique Rodgers-Cromartie from the Arizona Cardinals in a move that sent Kevin Kolb to the desert, and while they could move either him or Asante Samuel, the secondary could be downright scary with the trio of Asomugha, Samuel, and Rodgers-Cromartie patrolling the back.

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How To Bet Baseball

Posted on 8th June 2011 in Sports - Tags: , ,

With roughly four and a half months left until the playoffs, Belmont betting enthusiasts looking for a new sport, are dying to learn how to gamble on baseball. Today, rather than being another one of your typical MLB betting guides, we will be looking at the two factors that help set the lines in Las Vegas. By learning about these two factors, you should be able to make a good profit when you wager on your favorite teams.

Pitching – In baseball there is an old adage stating that good pitching always triumphs over good hitting. When it comes to setting lines, this adage is one of the main principles bookies use, and one that most bettors new or more experienced should be aware of. Essentially, when a good pitcher takes on a weaker offensive lineup, there will almost always be an advantage to the good pitchers team. Conversely, a poor pitcher facing a good offensive lineup will always be the underdog.

Tip: When two solid pitchers faceoff, it is important to look at the results of the last couple of games for each team. For the reason that, the bullpen may be depleted from trying to hold a team in their when another starter fumbles, you may be able to find an advantage. While solid pitchers continuously go late into ball games, it is rare that they will pitch a complete game every time.

Recent Performance – As we mentioned above, recent performance plays a huge success in how a team fares when betting in baseball. The MLB season is roughly seven months long, with 162 games being played. What this means, is that a team that starts out of the gate strong, will enter a valley at some point during the season, so you shouldn’t always bet on them.

Tip: Over a 162 game season teams are likely to have many peaks and valleys (win and losing streaks), however if you back a team with a winning streak for too long or fade a losing streak, you may not be able to turn a good profit.

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